OVERVIEW: Suspended at the Edge
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Virgin Galactic founder Sir Richard Branson, far left, and CEO Michael Colglazier, far right, stand with the crew of the Galactic 07 mission. Credit: Virgin Galactic |
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VSS Unity was a good suborbital spaceship. But Virgin Galactic needs a great suborbital spaceship. As Unity heads into retirement after last weekend’s launch, it’s worth looking at the vehicle’s final tally: 12 spaceflights over six years, carrying 37 people to space.
Those are solid numbers for a privately-developed spacecraft. But it’s a far cry from the forecast Virgin Galactic sold investors on – more than 3,000 “cumulative passengers flown” by 2023 – when it went public five years ago. |
Virgin Galactic 2019 investor presentation. Credit: SEC filings |
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Virgin Galactic’s leadership has clearly known for a while that it would need a more robust, efficient solution than the company’s SpaceShipTwo and SpaceShipThree classes of vehicles.
Three years ago, when CEO Michael Colglazier first told me about the company’s plan for the “Delta” class, the plan was for Unity to have two successors, VSS Imagine and VSS Inspire, before making the jump to Delta vehicles. VSS Unity will fly no more. And Virgin Galactic says VSS Imagine and VSS Inspire will never fly, instead being used for development and testing of its Delta class on the ground.
"Our Delta class ships are powerful economic engines. Because of their breakthrough capacity and revenue generation, we are choosing to leapfrog past our third-generation ship, VSS Imagine, and move directly to our fourth generation, the Delta Class," Colglazier said on an earnings call last year. |
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VSS Imagine is rolled out at the company's Mojave, California facility in March 2021. Credit: Virgin Galactic |
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But that leaves a hiatus before the first Delta spacecraft debuts, with the key target of a first commercial flight in 2026.
As a reminder, human spacecraft development is often years delayed, and Virgin Galactic has in the past been no exception: Virgin Galactic was supposed to begin spaceflights in 2010, but didn’t until 2018. And after it went public, the company’s commercial flights were supposed to begin in early 2020 but didn’t until June 2023.
The company’s on a ticking cash clock, too. It had nearly $870 million in cash and equivalents on hand as of March, while burning about $1 billion of negative free cash flow over the last two years. That’s a staggering rate and – taking the company’s track record and the broader history of human spaceflight vehicle development into account – Virgin Galactic should spend at least another $1 billion before a Delta spacecraft starts flying passengers.
The company’s already taking belt-tightening measures, such as layoffs late last year and a reverse stock split this week to get its stock back above $1 a share after a steady slide over the last three years. Virgin Galactic's future in space is then suspended on the edge of this question, which is not about the debut of Delta but the cadence: Can the company get its first Delta spaceship, within its first year or two, flying at a pace 10 times more frequent than Unity? Even if Virgin Galactic reaps higher revenue per flight with Delta – with plans for six passengers per flight at $600,000 a seat, netting $3.6 million per trip – the company needs that future spacecraft flying weekly, not quarterly or even monthly, and soon. |
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Boeing’s Starliner has a fifth helium leak, which NASA disclosed in a blog post and identified after the spacecraft docked with the ISS. But the agency said engineers’ evaluation found there is “plenty of margin” in the spacecraft’s helium supply based on current leak rates. – NASA Eight former SpaceX employees sue Elon Musk for harassment, in an expansion of the complaint that the employees, fired in 2022, have been pursuing via a U.S. labor board case. – NBC News ISS emergency was a false alarm, and no crew were in danger, NASA said. The agency explained that audio of an emergency simulation was accidentally broadcast publicly. The update was issued roughly 90 minutes after the apparent false alarm. – NBC News
FAA will not require a Starship mishap investigation, saying in a statement that SpaceX’s fourth test flight of the monster rocket was “within the scope” of the regulator’s expectations. – Read more
Study of Inspiration4 private astronauts found women may be 'more tolerant to spaceflight,' according to research papers published from biomedical data collected during the mission. – Fox Weather / The New York Times Armenia signs the Artemis Accords, the 43rd country to do so. – NASA
FAA evaluating SpaceX plan to begin Starship launches from NASA’s Kennedy Space Center, as the company looks to add more infrastructure to the LC-39A pad and as many as 44 launches per year. – FAA
Apple expanding satellite messaging service, saying its iOS 18 will add iMessage and SMS texting in addition to its previous Emergency SOS service. – Via Satellite
NASA calls off ISS spacewalk for unexplained ‘spacesuit discomfort issue:’ The agency did not specify what the discomfort issue was or why it postponed the 6.5-hour planned EVA by astronauts Tracy Dyson and Matt Dominick. – NASA
Kepler demonstrates space laser links with prototypes, in a demo by the Canadian operator with a pair of pathfinder satellites. – Kepler
Stoke completes first test firing of engine to power its Nova rocket, as the company continues to develop the vehicle that’s planned to be fully reusable. – Stoke
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LA spacecraft startup Apex raises $95 million at an undisclosed valuation, in a round led by XYZ Venture Capital and CRV, with new investors including Upfront, 8VC, Toyota Ventures, Point72 Ventures, Mirae Asset Capital, Outsiders Fund and GSBackers and joined by existing investors Andreessen Horowitz, Shield Capital, J2 Ventures, and Ravelin. The company plans to use the funds to further scale its spacecraft manufacturing, roll out additional products and expand hiring. – Apex
Raytheon awarded $507 million NASA contract for Landsat Next satellite instruments, delivering for a trio of satellites at an unspecified time. – NASA
Rocket Lab wins $49 million in government funding for spacecraft solar cells, with about half coming via the federal CHIPS and Science Act and another half from the state of New Mexico, with the company planning to invest over $70 million itself. The total commitment of more than $120 million will go toward expanding its Rocket Lab’s Albuquerque solar cell production facility. – SpaceNews
DOD plans to buy more than 100 of SpaceX’s Starshield satellites, which the U.S. military will own and control. – SpaceNews
NASA selects seven companies to study Mars Sample Return alternatives, under 90-day contracts that will look at replacement options for the agency’s existing program that has seen ballooning costs and timeline delays. The companies selected include SpaceX, Blue Origin, Lockheed Martin, L3Harris’ Aerojet Rocketdyne and Northrop Grumman. – NASA UAE’s Yahsat orders two satellites from Airbus, based on the European manufacturer’s “Eurostar NEO” spacecraft platform, with plans to launch the satellites in 2027 and 2028. – Airbus
Vast signs cargo services agreement with Europe-based TEC (The Exploration Company), for a 2028 mission to Vast’s second planned Haven private space station. – Vast
Spire and European groups developing air traffic surveillance service, with a plan to use satellites to help broadcast aircraft data in real time. – Spire
Redwire to provide Roll-Out Solar Array (ROSA) wings for Thales’ satellites, specifically the company’s coming line of GEO telecom “Space Inspire” satellites. – Redwire
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Bill Anders, legendary Apollo astronaut and ‘Earthrise’ photographer, dies in Washington plane crash: Anders, who was 90, was the pilot of a Beechcraft T-34 aircraft that went down off the San Juan Islands. Andres piloted the lunar module as part of the Apollo 8 mission crew and became legendary for his iconic Earthrise photo. – collectSPACE / NASA
Ed Stone, former JPL director, dies at 88: Once a professor at Caltech, Stone became a project scientist on the deep space Voyager mission, and served as director of NASA’s JPL for a decade. – JPL
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Michael Sheetz is CNBC’s space reporter – send tips, talent moves and more to michael.sheetz@nbcuni.com.
Follow and listen to CNBC's "Manifest Space" podcast, hosted by Morgan Brennan, wherever you find podcasts. |
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